The Transformation of European Deterrence after the War in Ukraine
5 pages · PDF · 16 October 2025 · Licensed single-user copy, watermarked to the buyer
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What this report covers
Countries: Ukraine. A sourced, structured 5-page analysis for European defence and dual-use decision-makers, from the DFM research desk and built on official and primary sources.
About this report
The war in Ukraine has marked a structural rupture in Europe’s understanding of deterrence and security. For more than three decades, the continent’s stability had rested on the assumption that the post-1989 order was irreversible and that large-scale conventional warfare was a phenomenon of the past.
This belief allowed European states to downsize their armed forces, dismantle reserves, reduce stockpiles, and outsource the ultimate guarantee of their security to the United States. The re-emergence of interstate war, driven by a revisionist power willing to occupy territory and absorb losses on a massive scale, has shattered that confidence.
Key questions this report answers
- How did three decades of assuming the post-1989 order was irreversible shape Europe's defence posture?
- Why did European states dismantle reserves, reduce stockpiles and rely on the U.S. for their ultimate security guarantee?
- What structural rupture has the war in Ukraine caused in Europe's conception of security and deterrence?
- Which capabilities must Europe reconstitute to deter a power willing to occupy territory and absorb massive losses?
Who it's for
Strategy, corporate-development and investment teams that need an ecosystem-level view — budgets, industrial capacity and technology landscapes — before committing capital or capacity.
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Methodology, format & delivery
DFM reports are built from primary and official sources — TED procurement notices, CORDIS and the EU Funding & Tenders Portal, EIB operations, the NATO Innovation Fund portfolio, SIPRI data, official budget documents and company disclosures — read together with the underlying legal texts. Sources are cited in the document; it reflects them as of its publication date (16 October 2025). You receive a 5-page PDF, watermarked to you on every page, delivered on the confirmation page and by e-mail immediately after checkout (personal link valid 72 hours, up to 5 downloads). Guest checkout, single-user licence — Terms of Sale.
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