Security Guarantees, the Logic of Deterrence, and Putin’s Psychological Warfare
4 pages · PDF · 05 September 2025 · Licensed single-user copy, watermarked to the buyer
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What this report covers
Countries: Ukraine. A sourced, structured 4-page analysis for European defence and dual-use decision-makers, from the DFM research desk and built on official and primary sources.
About this report
The war in Ukraine has made it clear that European stability cannot rest solely on declarations of principle or episodic financial support. What is needed are credible, durable security guarantees that are clearly perceived as binding by all parties involved.
The central question is whether the West—and Europe in particular—is willing and able to provide Ukraine with mechanisms of deterrence that go beyond indirect assistance, up to and including the possibility of a military presence on the ground.
Key questions this report answers
- Why does the report argue European stability cannot rest on declarations of principle or episodic financial support alone?
- What would make security guarantees for Ukraine credible, durable, and clearly perceived as binding by all parties?
- How far is the West willing to go in providing deterrence mechanisms, up to a possible military presence on the ground?
- How does the analysis frame Putin's psychological warfare in shaping the West's calculations over security guarantees?
Who it's for
Strategy, corporate-development and investment teams that need an ecosystem-level view — budgets, industrial capacity and technology landscapes — before committing capital or capacity.
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Methodology, format & delivery
DFM reports are built from primary and official sources — TED procurement notices, CORDIS and the EU Funding & Tenders Portal, EIB operations, the NATO Innovation Fund portfolio, SIPRI data, official budget documents and company disclosures — read together with the underlying legal texts. Sources are cited in the document; it reflects them as of its publication date (05 September 2025). You receive a 4-page PDF, watermarked to you on every page, delivered on the confirmation page and by e-mail immediately after checkout (personal link valid 72 hours, up to 5 downloads). Guest checkout, single-user licence — Terms of Sale.
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