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Security Guarantees, the Logic of Deterrence, and Putin’s Psychological Warfare
What is the central argument of “Security Guarantees, the Logic of Deterrence, and Putin’s Psychological Warfare”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets?
Security Guarantees, the Logic of Deterrence, and Putin’s Psychological Warfare: The war in Ukraine has made it clear. Defence-finance analysis; 4-page sourced…
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Original DFM publication · DFM Analysis report · 2025-09-05
The war in Ukraine has made it clear that European stability cannot rest solely on declarations of principle or episodic financial support. What is needed are credible, durable security guarantees that are clearly perceived as binding by all parties involved.
The central question is whether the West—and Europe in particular—is willing and able to provide Ukraine with mechanisms of deterrence that go beyond indirect assistance, up to and including the possibility of a military presence on the ground.
This analysis answers: What is the central argument of “Security Guarantees, the Logic of Deterrence, and Putin’s Psychological Warfare”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets? What does this mean for European defence funding, procurement and investment decisions? How mature and defensible is the position described in “Security Guarantees, the Logic of Deterrence, and Putin’s Psychological Warfare”? Which European actors, programmes and funding instruments are most exposed?
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Security Guarantees, the Logic of Deterrence, and Putin’s Psychological Warfare
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What is Security Guarantees, the Logic of Deterrence, and Putin’s Psychological Warfare?
What is needed are credible, durable security guarantees that are clearly perceived as binding by all parties involved.
Why does Security Guarantees, the Logic of Deterrence, and Putin’s Psychological Warfare matter for European defence?
The central question is whether the West—and Europe in particular—is willing and able to provide Ukraine with mechanisms of deterrence that go beyond indirect assistance…
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