Nuclear Strategy and the Logics of International Stability
6 pages · PDF · 29 August 2025 · Licensed single-user copy, watermarked to the buyer
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About this report
The advent of nuclear weapons radically transformed the conception of security and warfare. Before 1945, war was seen as an extreme but limited means, where victory could be achieved through the destruction of military forces or the occupation of territory.
The emergence of nuclear and later thermonuclear weapons shattered this premise: the destructive capacity was such that the very notion of victory became inconceivable. Strategy could no longer be based on the conduct of war but on the prevention of its outbreak. Out of this rupture emerged deterrence, understood as the ability to influence adversary behavior through the threat of use rather than actual employment.
Key questions this report answers
- How did the emergence of nuclear and thermonuclear weapons shatter the pre-1945 premise that victory could be achieved through destruction of forces or occupation of territory?
- Why did strategy shift from the conduct of war to the prevention of its outbreak once destructive capacity made victory inconceivable?
- How does deterrence, as the ability to influence adversary behaviour through the threat rather than actual use, underpin international stability?
- What conditions could undermine the logics of deterrence and destabilise the nuclear balance?
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