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The Strategic Risk of Transatlantic Decoupling
What is the central argument of “The Strategic Risk of Transatlantic Decoupling”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets?
The Strategic Risk of Transatlantic Decoupling: Europe’s security has long depended. Defence-finance analysis; 5-page sourced DFM PDF report.
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Original DFM publication · DFM Analysis report · 2025-10-16
Europe’s security has long depended on the assumption that American power and political will would remain constants of the international system. That assumption no longer holds. The growing unpredictability of U.S. domestic politics, coupled with the shifting global balance of attention toward the Indo-Pacific, has introduced a structural uncertainty into transatlantic relations.
Europe’s dependence on American capabilities—strategic lift, intelligence, space assets, missile defence, nuclear deterrence—means that even a temporary loss of political cohesion across the Atlantic would have immediate operational consequences.
This analysis answers: What is the central argument of “The Strategic Risk of Transatlantic Decoupling”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets? What does this mean for European defence funding, procurement and investment decisions? How mature and defensible is the position described in “The Strategic Risk of Transatlantic Decoupling”? Which European actors, programmes and funding instruments are most exposed?
Key takeaways
- The growing unpredictability of U.S.
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Original DFM analysis
The Strategic Risk of Transatlantic Decoupling
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FAQ
What is The Strategic Risk of Transatlantic Decoupling?
That assumption no longer holds.
Why does The Strategic Risk of Transatlantic Decoupling matter for European defence?
Europe’s dependence on American capabilities—strategic lift, intelligence, space assets, missile defence, nuclear deterrence—means that even a temporary loss of political cohesion across the Atlantic would have…
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