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The Governance of Resilience: The Baltic as Europe’s Security Laboratory
What is the central argument of “The Governance of Resilience”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets?
The Governance of Resilience: The Baltic as Europe’s Security Laboratory: The stability of the Baltic Sea depends. Defence-finance analysis; 5-page sourced DFM…
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Original DFM publication · DFM Analysis report · 2025-10-23
The stability of the Baltic Sea depends not only on military assets or technological infrastructure but on a political and legal framework capable of making reactions predictable and responsibilities measurable. In an environment defined by hybrid threats, sub-threshold attacks, and ambiguity of attribution, deterrence no longer relies on the promise of invulnerability but on the ability to respond swiftly, coherently, and lawfully.
The predictability of response itself becomes a form of deterrence: knowing that an attack on a cable, pipeline, or energy terminal will trigger an immediate and proportionate reaction—even without conclusive evidence—reduces the strategic value of aggression.
This analysis answers: What is the central argument of “The Governance of Resilience”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets? What does this mean for European defence funding, procurement and investment decisions? How mature and defensible is the position described in “The Governance of Resilience”? Which European actors, programmes and funding instruments are most exposed?
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Original DFM analysis
The Governance of Resilience: The Baltic as Europe’s Security Laboratory
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What is The Governance of Resilience: The Baltic as Europe’s Security Laboratory?
The predictability of response itself becomes a form of deterrence: knowing that an attack on a cable, pipeline, or energy terminal will trigger an immediate and proportionate reaction—even without conclusive…
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