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The Credibility of Deterrence Lies in Automatic Mechanism
What is the central argument of “The Credibility of Deterrence Lies in Automatic Mechanism”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets?
The Credibility of Deterrence Lies in Automatic Mechanism: Deterrence is not a mathematical. Defence-finance analysis; 4-page sourced DFM PDF report.
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Original DFM publication · DFM Analysis report · 2025-09-05
Deterrence is not a mathematical function of the number of forces deployed or the size of arsenals. It is, above all, a psychological and political construct that resides in the mind of the adversary. Its effectiveness depends on a firm and unquestionable conviction that any act of aggression will generate a response that is certain, immediate, and inexorable.
Possessing the means to retaliate is not enough: the potential aggressor must be persuaded that those means will be used without hesitation, as if triggered by an automatic mechanism. It is precisely this perception that renders the costs of aggression prohibitive and discourages its initiation.
This analysis answers: What is the central argument of “The Credibility of Deterrence Lies in Automatic Mechanism”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets? What does this mean for European defence funding, procurement and investment decisions? How mature and defensible is the position described in “The Credibility of Deterrence Lies in Automatic Mechanism”? Which European actors, programmes and funding instruments are most exposed?
Key takeaways
- It is precisely this perception that renders the costs of aggression prohibitive and discourages its initiation.
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Original DFM analysis
The Credibility of Deterrence Lies in Automatic Mechanism
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FAQ
What is The Credibility of Deterrence Lies in Automatic Mechanism?
It is, above all, a psychological and political construct that resides in the mind of the adversary.
Why does The Credibility of Deterrence Lies in Automatic Mechanism matter for European defence?
Possessing the means to retaliate is not enough: the potential aggressor must be persuaded that those means will be used without hesitation, as if triggered by an automatic mechanism.
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