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Shifting the Paradigm: Western Military Aid and the Rise of Ukraine’s Indigenous Defense Industry
What is the central argument of “Shifting the Paradigm”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets?
Shifting the Paradigm: Western Military Aid and the Rise of Ukraine’s Indigenous Defense Industry: One of the most consequential. Defence-finance analysis; 5-p…
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Original DFM publication · DFM Analysis report · 2025-07-24
One of the most consequential transformations in the architecture of post-2022 Western military assistance has not occurred on the battlefield, but within the industrial policy frameworks of allied support to Ukraine. As the war evolves into a long-duration conflict, the logic of emergency resupply—based on the depletion of allied stockpiles—is proving unsustainable both politically and operationally.
In its place emerges a new paradigm: enabling Ukraine to become a sovereign defense producer. This shift reflects broader geopolitical and strategic recalibrations, where resilience and autonomy are redefined not only in territorial or tactical terms, but also in terms of productive capacity.
This analysis answers: What is the central argument of “Shifting the Paradigm”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets? What does this mean for European defence funding, procurement and investment decisions? How mature and defensible is the position described in “Shifting the Paradigm”? Which European actors, programmes and funding instruments are most exposed?
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Original DFM analysis
Shifting the Paradigm: Western Military Aid and the Rise of Ukraine’s Indigenous Defense Industry
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FAQ
What is Shifting the Paradigm: Western Military Aid and the Rise of Ukraine’s Indigenous Defense Industry?
In its place emerges a new paradigm: enabling Ukraine to become a sovereign defense producer.
Why does Shifting the Paradigm: Western Military Aid and the Rise of Ukraine’s Indigenous Defense Industry matter for European defence?
This shift reflects broader geopolitical and strategic recalibrations, where resilience and autonomy are redefined not only in territorial or tactical terms, but also in terms of productive capacity.
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