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From Resilience to Antifragility: Deterrence as the Strategic Foundation
What is the central argument of “From Resilience to Antifragility”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets?
From Resilience to Antifragility: Deterrence as the Strategic Foundation: In recent years, Western political. Defence-finance analysis; 5-page sourced DFM PDF…
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Original DFM publication · DFM Analysis report · 2025-08-22
In recent years, Western political and strategic discourse has made extensive use of the concept of resilience, presenting it as a key response to contemporary threats. Yet when analyzed through the lens of strategic logic, this concept reveals its limits. Resilience means absorbing a blow and restoring the previous state, but it imposes no significant cost on the attacker.
An aggressor who inflicts damage without suffering consequences has no incentive to stop; on the contrary, they can continue striking, gradually wearing down the victim. Resilience, in other words, ensures survival but not security, because it does not dissuade attack.
This analysis answers: What is the central argument of “From Resilience to Antifragility”, and why does it matter for European defence and dual-use markets? What does this mean for European defence funding, procurement and investment decisions? How mature and defensible is the position described in “From Resilience to Antifragility”? Which European actors, programmes and funding instruments are most exposed?
Key takeaways
- An aggressor who inflicts damage without suffering consequences has no incentive to stop; on the contrary, they can continue striking, gradually wearing down the victim.
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Original DFM analysis
From Resilience to Antifragility: Deterrence as the Strategic Foundation
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FAQ
What is From Resilience to Antifragility: Deterrence as the Strategic Foundation?
Yet when analyzed through the lens of strategic logic, this concept reveals its limits.
Why does From Resilience to Antifragility: Deterrence as the Strategic Foundation matter for European defence?
Resilience, in other words, ensures survival but not security, because it does not dissuade attack.
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