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The Conventional Stability Paradox: Power Projection in the Third Nuclear Age

What capability problem does Conventional Stability Paradox address for European deterrence, readiness and strategic autonomy?

The Conventional Stability Paradox: a DFM analysis of its strategic, industrial and financial relevance to European defence.

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Platform publication · DFM Analysis report · 2026-06-13

The transition into the Third Nuclear Age represents a fundamental disruption in global security, characterized by the convergence of multipolar competition and disruptive technologies. Unlike the bilateral predictability of the Cold War, this era is defined by a strategic environment where nuclear weapons no longer merely prevent conflict but increasingly serve to encapsulate it. Revisionist powers utilize their atomic arsenals as a protective shield to conduct high-intensity regional operations with conventional forces, assuming that the threshold for a non-conventional response remains prohibitively high.

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Cover of the report The Conventional Stability Paradox: Power Projection in the Third Nuclear Age Full sourced report The Conventional Stability Paradox: Power Projection in the Third Nuclear Age 8-page PDF · immediate download · €299 View the report →

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Original DFM analysis

The Conventional Stability Paradox: Power Projection in the Third Nuclear Age

Type DFM Analysis report
Published 2026-06-13 (Platform publication)
Access paid

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What is The Conventional Stability Paradox: Power Projection in the Third Nuclear Age?

The transition into the Third Nuclear Age represents a fundamental disruption in global security, characterized by the convergence of multipolar competition and disruptive technologies.

Topics Strategic Autonomy #strategic-autonomy

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